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Let's
examine one of the first scientific papers released
suggesting that fire was responsible for the collapse
of the World Trade Center buildings. This paper was
submitted to ASCE on October 13, 2001 and an update
in March 2002. You may read the March 2002 paper here.
Whilst
the author is specific that this analysis is a "simplified
approximate" of the collapse, meaning an educated
guess, it is often used as absolute proof when presented
to the public. If it is not presented as absolute proof,
then it is often implied that the physical evidence
supports the conclusion.
As
before, my comments will appear in black text and the
paper will be in blue italics.
Let's
begin...
Abstract:
This paper presents a simplified approximate analysis
of the overall collapse of the towers of World Trade
Center in New York on September 11, 2001. The analysis
shows that if prolonged heating caused the majority
of columns of a single floor to lose their load carrying
capacity, the whole tower was doomed.
So
far, the principle is not exactly rocket science. Actually,
its more like a lesson in how to state the obvious using
a scenic route through the English language. I mean,
if a building of any substantial height should lose
the majority of its columns, on a mid-level floor, it
only stands to reason that the top section of the building
is going to fall down.
It
can hardly float in mid-air.
I
do respect that he goes on to describe how one floor
basically punches through the next, causing the outer
facade to collapse, but, it is still only basic common
sense. Within the abstract we are introduced to the
key element that this entire principle hinges on:
if
prolonged heating caused the majority of columns of
a single floor to lose their load carrying capacity
Let's
now locate what he describes as "prolonged heating".
the
conflagration, caused by the aircraft fuel spilled into
the structure, causes the steel of the columns to be
exposed to sustained temperatures apparently exceeding
800°C.
We
can end this analysis right here. The samples of steel
provided to NIST show temperature ranges of 250-600C.
There is, nor ever was, any physical evidence to support
this analysis.
Thus,
this analysis is irrelevent to a factual discussion
on the collapse of the WTC.
In
addition, there is very little combustable material
in the central core and as we note in the paper the
authors rely on jet fuel as their primary source of
this heat. According to NIST:
"The
jet fuel, which ignited the fires, was mostly consumed
within the first few minutes after impact. The fires
that burned for almost the entire time that the buildings
remained standing were due mainly
to burning building contents and, to a lesser
extent, aircraft contents, not
jet fuel."
Key
Findings of NISTs June 2004 Progress Report on
the Federal Building and Fire Safety Investigation of
the World Trade Center Disaster
Is
a "few minutes" worth of burning jet fuel
going to resulted in "sustained temperatures apparently
exceeding 800°C"?
Not
likely.
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